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Technology

Policy Economic Report July 2026 - v4

By sanjay singh

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Share link
https://covver.com/magazine/sanjaysingh1305/policy-economic-report-july-2026-v4-2
Published
Aug 7, 2026
Pages
80
Language
English

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  • CoverFIPI Federation of Indian Petroleum Industry
  • Page 2FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 8FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET and options. Speculators were increasingly betting on easing geopolitical risk premiums. At the same time, they sharply raised short positions to their highest level since December 2025, fuelling volatility and accelerating the decline in oil futures prices. Combined futures and options net long positions in ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI dropped to their lowest level since January 2026.
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  • Page 16FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET growth path despite recent geopolitical disruptions. Emerging market economies generally outperformed advanced economies, with India recording the strongest expansion among all economies covered by the survey, followed by Ireland, China and Japan, reflecting the continued resilience of domestic demand in several Asian economies.
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  • Page 21FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET per cent in FY 2026-27, compared with 7.7 per cent in FY 2025-26, before improving modestly to 6.8 per cent in FY 2027-28. While the projected slowdown reflects a more challenging global environment, India's growth outlook continues to compare favourably with that of other major economies, supported by resilient domestic demand, sound macroeconomic fundamentals and continued policy support.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 14: HSBC India Manufacturing PMI sa, >50 growth since previous month
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 15: Total Trade during June 2026
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  • Page 34FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET kilometres of previously restricted offshore areas have significantly expanded exploration opportunities. These reforms, complemented by investments in geoscientific surveys and the National Data Repository, are expected to improve exploration success rates and attract greater investment into frontier basins.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Indian Basket Crude oil price
  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Table 4: Non-Doc liquids production in 2026, mb/d
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 47FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET was further revised for the period 1st April, 2025 30th September, 2025 was notified as US$10.04/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis. Prices were further revised for the period 1st October, 2025 - 31st March, 2026 was notified as US$9.72/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2025. As per notification dated 31st March 2026, gas prices were further revised for the period 1st April 2026-30th September 2026 and was notified as US$ 8.90/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis.
  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Solar street lighting and provision of lighting in Rs. 1 lakh per MPC MPCs of PVTG areas (under PM JANMAN
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  • Page 73FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET success of efforts to ramp up assured domestic supply and reduce reliance on the blending mandate.
  • Page 74FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC
  • Page 75FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET bring together governments, industry, investors, technology leaders, researchers, startups and academia to strengthen partnerships, promote innovation and shape the future of sustainable and technology-driven mining. Highlighting the transformative reforms undertaken over the past decade under the leadership of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, he noted that transparent auctions, commercial coal mining, accelerated exploration, ease of doing business and technology-led governance have positioned India among the world's most attractive mining destinations. Referring to emerging global challenges related to energy security, critical minerals and resilient supply chains, he said India is pursuing an integrated approach that combines policy reforms, technological advancement, value addition, sustainability and international collaboration to build a future-ready mining ecosystem. The Minister expressed confidence that the event would strengthen global partnerships, showcase India's mineral potential and technological capabilities, and contribute to realizing the vision of Aatmanirbhar and Viksit Bharat. He urged all technology innovators, researchers, industries and other stakeholders to be part of the India Mining Week 2026.
  • Page 76FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET policy reforms and accelerated exploration. Announcing the forthcoming launch of the 8th round of Critical and Strategic Mineral Blocks auctions, he said the initiative will further strengthen domestic availability of critical minerals, encourage greater private sector participation, attract investment and reinforce India's resilient mineral value chains. He noted that India Mining Week 2026 will serve as a global platform to showcase India's mining reforms, resource potential and emerging opportunities while fostering international collaboration, innovation and investment in the sector.
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FIPI

POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET

Impact on India's Oil & Gas Sector

The Indian oil and gas sector continues to operate in an increasingly complex global environment marked by geopolitical instability, persistent inflationary pressures, and rising import dependence. These developments have significant implications for India's energy security, fiscal stability, and long-term strategy of achieving energy self-reliance.

Geopolitical vulnerabilities & chokepoint risks:

Continued Middle East disruptions and security threats around critical trade corridors (such as the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandeb/Red Sea) pose heavy risks to India's energy security, as the nation imports nearly 40% to 50% of its crude oil and a vast share of its LNG through these routes. Any disruption could lead to higher freight and insurance costs, supply delays, and increased crude oil price volatility.

Despite these challenges, India has demonstrated considerable resilience in managing its energy supplies. The Government, along with oil and gas companies, has successfully diversified crude sourcing across multiple geographies, maintained adequate strategic and commercial inventories, secured long-term supply contracts, and adopted flexible procurement strategies to mitigate supply disruptions. Consequently, India has largely avoided major physical supply shortages even during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, underscoring the country's improving energy security framework and crisis management capabilities.

Wholesale cost pressures & high energy inflation:

Energy continued to be the principal driver of wholesale inflation during June 2026. The Fuel and Power category registered the highest inflation among all commodity groups, recording a WPI inflation rate of 27.41%, largely driven by higher prices of mineral oils, petroleum products, electricity, and coal. Persistent energy inflation has widespread implications across the economy:

Refiners and downstream marketing companies face higher procurement and inventory costs.

Energy-intensive industries such as steel, cement, chemicals, fertilizers, transportation, and manufacturing experience higher production costs.

。 Elevated input costs may compress corporate margins, particularly in sectors unable to fully pass on higher costs to consumers.

。 Although retail fuel prices may not immediately reflect international price movements due to pricing mechanisms, sustained wholesale inflation can eventually influence broader consumer inflation and monetary policy decisions.

Contraction in Sub-Core Energy Outputs:

The newly revised Index of Core Industries presents a contrasting picture of India's infrastructure performance. While sectors such as Electricity, Iron Ore, Steel, and Cement demonstrated healthy growth, the hydrocarbon sector continued to underperform. During June 2026:

July 2026