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Technology

Policy Economic Report July 2026 - v4

By sanjay singh

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Share link
https://covver.com/magazine/sanjaysingh1305/policy-economic-report-july-2026-v4-2
Published
Aug 7, 2026
Pages
80
Language
English

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  • CoverFIPI Federation of Indian Petroleum Industry
  • Page 2FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • Page 3FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 7FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC
  • Page 8FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET and options. Speculators were increasingly betting on easing geopolitical risk premiums. At the same time, they sharply raised short positions to their highest level since December 2025, fuelling volatility and accelerating the decline in oil futures prices. Combined futures and options net long positions in ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI dropped to their lowest level since January 2026.
  • Page 9FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 15FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • Page 16FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET growth path despite recent geopolitical disruptions. Emerging market economies generally outperformed advanced economies, with India recording the strongest expansion among all economies covered by the survey, followed by Ireland, China and Japan, reflecting the continued resilience of domestic demand in several Asian economies.
  • Page 17FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 21FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET per cent in FY 2026-27, compared with 7.7 per cent in FY 2025-26, before improving modestly to 6.8 per cent in FY 2027-28. While the projected slowdown reflects a more challenging global environment, India's growth outlook continues to compare favourably with that of other major economies, supported by resilient domestic demand, sound macroeconomic fundamentals and continued policy support.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 14: HSBC India Manufacturing PMI sa, >50 growth since previous month
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  • Page 29FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 15: Total Trade during June 2026
  • Page 31FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 33FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • Page 34FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET kilometres of previously restricted offshore areas have significantly expanded exploration opportunities. These reforms, complemented by investments in geoscientific surveys and the National Data Repository, are expected to improve exploration success rates and attract greater investment into frontier basins.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Indian Basket Crude oil price
  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Table 4: Non-Doc liquids production in 2026, mb/d
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 46FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • Page 47FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET was further revised for the period 1st April, 2025 30th September, 2025 was notified as US$10.04/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis. Prices were further revised for the period 1st October, 2025 - 31st March, 2026 was notified as US$9.72/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2025. As per notification dated 31st March 2026, gas prices were further revised for the period 1st April 2026-30th September 2026 and was notified as US$ 8.90/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis.
  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Solar street lighting and provision of lighting in Rs. 1 lakh per MPC MPCs of PVTG areas (under PM JANMAN
  • Page 70FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 73FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET success of efforts to ramp up assured domestic supply and reduce reliance on the blending mandate.
  • Page 74FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC
  • Page 75FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET bring together governments, industry, investors, technology leaders, researchers, startups and academia to strengthen partnerships, promote innovation and shape the future of sustainable and technology-driven mining. Highlighting the transformative reforms undertaken over the past decade under the leadership of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, he noted that transparent auctions, commercial coal mining, accelerated exploration, ease of doing business and technology-led governance have positioned India among the world's most attractive mining destinations. Referring to emerging global challenges related to energy security, critical minerals and resilient supply chains, he said India is pursuing an integrated approach that combines policy reforms, technological advancement, value addition, sustainability and international collaboration to build a future-ready mining ecosystem. The Minister expressed confidence that the event would strengthen global partnerships, showcase India's mineral potential and technological capabilities, and contribute to realizing the vision of Aatmanirbhar and Viksit Bharat. He urged all technology innovators, researchers, industries and other stakeholders to be part of the India Mining Week 2026.
  • Page 76FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET policy reforms and accelerated exploration. Announcing the forthcoming launch of the 8th round of Critical and Strategic Mineral Blocks auctions, he said the initiative will further strengthen domestic availability of critical minerals, encourage greater private sector participation, attract investment and reinforce India's resilient mineral value chains. He noted that India Mining Week 2026 will serve as a global platform to showcase India's mining reforms, resource potential and emerging opportunities while fostering international collaboration, innovation and investment in the sector.
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FIPI

POLICY AND ECONOMIC

OIL & GAS MARKET growth. This diversification has strengthened India's resilience by reducing dependence on traditional merchandise exports.

The composition of merchandise exports has also undergone significant change, with engineering goods, electronics, pharmaceuticals, chemicals and refined petroleum products emerging as key growth sectors. Electronics, led by mobile phone exports, have witnessed particularly strong growth, reflecting the success of domestic manufacturing initiatives and India's increasing participation in global value chains. At the same time, traditional export categories such as gems and jewelry have experienced a gradual decline in their share of total exports, indicating an ongoing shift towards higher value-added manufacturing.

Geographically, India's exports remain concentrated in a few major markets, highlighting the need for greater diversification. The United States continues to be India's largest export destination, accounting for nearly one-fifth of merchandise exports in FY 2025-26. While this has created significant market opportunities, it has also increased India's exposure to changes in US trade policy and tariff measures. Consequently, expanding exports to emerging markets and strengthening trade relations through Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), local currency settlement mechanisms, and increased trade with BRICS+ and other partner economies are expected to play an important role in sustaining export growth and reducing concentration risks.

Looking ahead, India's export outlook remains favorable despite persistent global uncertainties. Merchandise exports recorded a strong start during the first quarter of FY 2026-27, supported by robust growth in engineering goods, electronics and petroleum products, while services exports continued to demonstrate resilience. Continued improvements in manufacturing competitiveness, logistics infrastructure, digital trade, product diversification and market access are expected to further strengthen India's export performance. If the current growth momentum is sustained, India is well positioned to achieve the US$1 trillion export milestone during FY 2026-27 or shortly thereafter, reinforcing the country's role as an increasingly important participant in global trade.

9. World Bank raises India's growth forecast from 6.3 to 6.6 percent for current financial year

The World Bank has raised India's growth forecast from 6.3 percent to 6.6 percent for the current financial year, owing to strong domestic demand and free trade agreements. World Bank expects India to remain the primary engine of growth in South Asia.

The report said that, although the reduction in GST rates should continue to support consumer demand in the first half of Financial Year 27, elevated global energy prices are expected to put upward pressure on prices and constrain households' disposable income.

The World Bank Group, in its twice-a-year regional outlook report, stated that the growth outlook is driven primarily by India's performance, underpinned by robust domestic demand as well as tariff cuts and recent trade agreements, including the free trade agreement with the UK and European Union.

July 2026