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Technology

Policy Economic Report July 2026 - v4

By sanjay singh

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Share link
https://covver.com/magazine/sanjaysingh1305/policy-economic-report-july-2026-v4-2
Published
Aug 7, 2026
Pages
80
Language
English

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  • CoverFIPI Federation of Indian Petroleum Industry
  • Page 2FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 8FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET and options. Speculators were increasingly betting on easing geopolitical risk premiums. At the same time, they sharply raised short positions to their highest level since December 2025, fuelling volatility and accelerating the decline in oil futures prices. Combined futures and options net long positions in ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI dropped to their lowest level since January 2026.
  • Page 9FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 16FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET growth path despite recent geopolitical disruptions. Emerging market economies generally outperformed advanced economies, with India recording the strongest expansion among all economies covered by the survey, followed by Ireland, China and Japan, reflecting the continued resilience of domestic demand in several Asian economies.
  • Page 17FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 21FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET per cent in FY 2026-27, compared with 7.7 per cent in FY 2025-26, before improving modestly to 6.8 per cent in FY 2027-28. While the projected slowdown reflects a more challenging global environment, India's growth outlook continues to compare favourably with that of other major economies, supported by resilient domestic demand, sound macroeconomic fundamentals and continued policy support.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 14: HSBC India Manufacturing PMI sa, >50 growth since previous month
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Figure 15: Total Trade during June 2026
  • Page 31FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 33FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
  • Page 34FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET kilometres of previously restricted offshore areas have significantly expanded exploration opportunities. These reforms, complemented by investments in geoscientific surveys and the National Data Repository, are expected to improve exploration success rates and attract greater investment into frontier basins.
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Indian Basket Crude oil price
  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Table 4: Non-Doc liquids production in 2026, mb/d
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 47FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET was further revised for the period 1st April, 2025 30th September, 2025 was notified as US$10.04/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis. Prices were further revised for the period 1st October, 2025 - 31st March, 2026 was notified as US$9.72/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2025. As per notification dated 31st March 2026, gas prices were further revised for the period 1st April 2026-30th September 2026 and was notified as US$ 8.90/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis.
  • POLICY AND ECONOMICFIPI OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKETFIPI Solar street lighting and provision of lighting in Rs. 1 lakh per MPC MPCs of PVTG areas (under PM JANMAN
  • Page 70FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET
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  • Page 73FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET success of efforts to ramp up assured domestic supply and reduce reliance on the blending mandate.
  • Page 74FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC
  • Page 75FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET bring together governments, industry, investors, technology leaders, researchers, startups and academia to strengthen partnerships, promote innovation and shape the future of sustainable and technology-driven mining. Highlighting the transformative reforms undertaken over the past decade under the leadership of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, he noted that transparent auctions, commercial coal mining, accelerated exploration, ease of doing business and technology-led governance have positioned India among the world's most attractive mining destinations. Referring to emerging global challenges related to energy security, critical minerals and resilient supply chains, he said India is pursuing an integrated approach that combines policy reforms, technological advancement, value addition, sustainability and international collaboration to build a future-ready mining ecosystem. The Minister expressed confidence that the event would strengthen global partnerships, showcase India's mineral potential and technological capabilities, and contribute to realizing the vision of Aatmanirbhar and Viksit Bharat. He urged all technology innovators, researchers, industries and other stakeholders to be part of the India Mining Week 2026.
  • Page 76FIPI POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET policy reforms and accelerated exploration. Announcing the forthcoming launch of the 8th round of Critical and Strategic Mineral Blocks auctions, he said the initiative will further strengthen domestic availability of critical minerals, encourage greater private sector participation, attract investment and reinforce India's resilient mineral value chains. He noted that India Mining Week 2026 will serve as a global platform to showcase India's mining reforms, resource potential and emerging opportunities while fostering international collaboration, innovation and investment in the sector.
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FIPI

POLICY AND ECONOMIC OIL & GAS MARKET

American economies face mounting inflationary pressures as higher fuel import costs raise production expenses and household energy bills. Countries that have invested significantly in renewable energy generation are expected to experience relatively lower exposure to these shocks, highlighting the importance of energy diversification in enhancing economic resilience.

The IMF also notes that countries with large current account deficits and greater reliance on international capital markets remain particularly vulnerable to shifts in global financial conditions. Rising investor risk aversion has increased borrowing costs and reduced access to external financing for several economies, placing additional pressure on fiscal balances and investment. Even some energy-exporting economies with weaker macroeconomic fundamentals may find it difficult to fully benefit from higher commodity prices if financing conditions continue to tighten.

While the impact on economic growth varies considerably across countries, the effects on inflation are far more uniform. Higher oil prices, transportation costs, food prices and industrial input costs are expected to increase inflation across almost all economies. The IMF therefore emphasises that maintaining credible monetary policy frameworks, preserving fiscal discipline and providing targeted support to vulnerable households are critical for managing the inflationary consequences of geopolitical shocks. Rather than broad-based fuel or food subsidies, governments are encouraged to prioritise well-targeted social protection measures while preserving fiscal sustainability.

The report underscores a broader policy lesson that extends beyond the Western Hemisphere. As geopolitical fragmentation becomes more frequent, countries with diversified energy sources, stronger macroeconomic institutions, credible policy frameworks and greater fiscal buffers are likely to be better positioned to absorb external shocks. Conversely, economies that remain highly dependent on imported energy, tourism revenues or external financing are expected to experience greater economic volatility during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

4. Trade Cooperation Must Adapt to an Era of Geopolitical Rivalry - IMF

The rapid rise of geopolitical rivalry is fundamentally reshaping the global trading system, challenging many of the principles that underpinned international trade over the past seven decades. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), governments are increasingly using tariffs, export controls, investment restrictions and industrial policies to pursue strategic and national security objectives rather than purely economic goals. This shift has blurred the distinction between economic policy and geopolitics, giving rise to a new era of geoeconomics, in which trade has become an instrument of strategic competition as well as economic development.

For decades, the multilateral trading system established under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)and later the World Trade Organization (WTO) was designed on the assumption that countries would cooperate primarily to improve economic welfare. However, growing strategic rivalry- particularly between the United States and China-has altered this framework. Governments are now increasingly concerned with relative economic and technological power, encouraging policies aimed not

July 2026